What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
AC Milan lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Udinese -1.59, AC Milan +0.34.
- Points per game over the last five: Udinese 0.00, AC Milan 1.80.
- Attack: Udinese xG per match 1.02, 11.2 shots, 1.2 big chances created; AC Milan xG per match 1.84, 10.2 shots, 3.0 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Udinese 2.61, AC Milan 1.51; shots on target faced 13.5 vs 6.2, big chances faced 5.5 vs 2.4.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Shots per match
11.2
vs 10.2
· Edge 9.3%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Points per game
1.80
vs 0.00
· Edge 100.0%
Big chances created per match
3.0
vs 1.2
· Edge 58.3%
Big chances faced per match
2.4
vs 5.5
· Edge 56.4%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Udinese
|
Metric |
AC Milan
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 0.00 | Points per game | 1.80 |
| 1.00 | Goals per match | 2.00 |
| 2.60 | Goals conceded per match | 1.20 |
| 0.66 | Expected points per game | 1.59 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.02 | xG per match | 1.84 |
| 11.2 | Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 10.2 |
| 7.0 | Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 7.8 |
| 1.2 | Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 3.0 |
| 50.8% | Possession 4 / 5 matches with data | 60.2% |
| 5.6 | Deep completions per match | 5.6 |
| Defence | ||
| 2.61 | xGA per match | 1.51 |
| 18.8 | Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 10.0 |
| 13.5 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 6.2 |
| 5.5 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 2.4 |
| 7.2 | Deep completions allowed per match | 4.8 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 17.6 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 17.2 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Udinese 4
- David Alaba Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Idrissa Gueye Injury Expected back late December 2026
- Nicolò Zaniolo Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Vakoun Issouf Bayo Injury Expected back early November 2026
AC Milan 4
- Alexis Saelemaekers Injury Expected back mid January 2027
- Gonçalo Ramos Injury Doubtful
- Matteo Gabbia Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Samuel Chukwueze Injury Doubtful
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.