What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Lecce have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Frosinone have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Frosinone -0.48, Lecce -0.38.
- Points per game over the last five: Frosinone 2.00, Lecce 1.20, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Frosinone xG per match 1.91, 19.8 shots, 3.0 big chances created; Lecce xG per match 1.64, 11.8 shots, 2.8 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Frosinone 2.38, Lecce 2.01; shots on target faced 11.2 vs 9.6, big chances faced 3.0 vs 3.4.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Shots per match
19.8
vs 11.8
· Edge 40.4%
Points per game
2.00
vs 1.20
· Edge 40.0%
Goals per match
2.00
vs 1.40
· Edge 30.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Shots faced per match
14.6
vs 18.4
· Edge 20.7%
xGA per match
2.01
vs 2.38
· Edge 15.5%
Shots on target faced per match
9.6
vs 11.2
· Edge 14.3%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
|
|
Metric |
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 2.00 | Points per game | 1.20 |
| 2.00 | Goals per match | 1.40 |
| 1.60 | Goals conceded per match | 1.60 |
| 1.16 | Expected points per game | 0.97 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.91 | xG per match | 1.64 |
| 19.8 | Shots per match | 11.8 |
| 11.0 | Shots on target per match | 7.8 |
| 3.0 | Big chances created per match | 2.8 |
| 44.2% | Possession | 43.6% |
| 7.0 | Deep completions per match | 5.2 |
| Defence | ||
| 2.38 | xGA per match | 2.01 |
| 18.4 | Shots faced per match | 14.6 |
| 11.2 | Shots on target faced per match | 9.6 |
| 3.0 | Big chances faced per match | 3.4 |
| 8.6 | Deep completions allowed per match | 4.8 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 26.4 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 28.2 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Frosinone 1
- Florian Grillitsch Injury Expected back early November 2026
Lecce 3
- Ivan Ilic Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Lassana Coulibaly Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Medon Berisha Injury Expected back early November 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.