What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Genoa have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Lecce have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Lecce -0.38, Genoa -0.27.
- Points per game over the last five: Lecce 1.20, Genoa 0.80, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Lecce xG per match 1.64, 11.8 shots, 2.8 big chances created; Genoa xG per match 1.09, 12.0 shots, 1.4 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Lecce 2.01, Genoa 1.36; shots on target faced 9.6 vs 10.6, big chances faced 3.4 vs 2.0.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Big chances created per match
2.8
vs 1.4
· Edge 50.0%
Points per game
1.20
vs 0.80
· Edge 33.3%
xG per match
1.64
vs 1.09
· Edge 33.3%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Big chances faced per match
2.0
vs 3.4
· Edge 41.2%
xGA per match
1.36
vs 2.01
· Edge 32.4%
Shots per match
12.0
vs 11.8
· Edge 1.7%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
|
|
Metric |
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.20 | Points per game | 0.80 |
| 1.40 | Goals per match | 1.00 |
| 1.60 | Goals conceded per match | 2.00 |
| 0.97 | Expected points per game | 1.17 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.64 | xG per match | 1.09 |
| 11.8 | Shots per match | 12.0 |
| 7.8 | Shots on target per match | 7.4 |
| 2.8 | Big chances created per match | 1.4 |
| 43.6% | Possession | 42.2% |
| 5.2 | Deep completions per match | 3.2 |
| Defence | ||
| 2.01 | xGA per match | 1.36 |
| 14.6 | Shots faced per match | 15.8 |
| 9.6 | Shots on target faced per match | 10.6 |
| 3.4 | Big chances faced per match | 2.0 |
| 4.8 | Deep completions allowed per match | 8.8 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 28.2 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 22.8 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Lecce 3
- Ivan Ilic Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Lassana Coulibaly Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Medon Berisha Injury Expected back early November 2026
Genoa 5
- Djibril Sow Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Elias Havel Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Franz-Ethan Meichtry Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Lorenzo Colombo Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Lorenzo Venturino Injury Back in training
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.