What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Bournemouth lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Bournemouth +1.54, Leeds +0.14.
- Points per game over the last five: Bournemouth 1.40, Leeds 1.20.
- Attack: Bournemouth xG per match 2.42, 15.4 shots, 4.0 big chances created; Leeds xG per match 1.41, 12.2 shots, 2.0 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Bournemouth 0.88, Leeds 1.27; shots on target faced 6.0 vs 8.4, big chances faced 1.0 vs 2.2.
- Running: Bournemouth 116.3 km, Leeds 117.4 km; sprints 116 vs 123.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Big chances faced per match
1.0
vs 2.2
· Edge 54.5%
Big chances created per match
4.0
vs 2.0
· Edge 50.0%
xG per match
2.42
vs 1.41
· Edge 41.8%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Goals conceded per match
0.80
vs 1.60
· Edge 50.0%
Sprints per match
123
vs 116
· Edge 5.9%
Distance covered per match (km)
117.4 km
vs 116.3 km
· Edge 0.9%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Bournemouth
|
Metric |
Leeds
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.40 | Points per game | 1.20 |
| 1.60 | Goals per match | 1.20 |
| 1.60 | Goals conceded per match | 0.80 |
| 2.14 | Expected points per game | 1.49 |
| Attack | ||
| 2.42 | xG per match | 1.41 |
| 15.4 | Shots per match | 12.2 |
| 8.2 | Shots on target per match | 7.8 |
| 4.0 | Big chances created per match | 2.0 |
| 51.0% | Possession | 50.8% |
| 8.8 | Deep completions per match | 4.0 |
| Defence | ||
| 0.88 | xGA per match | 1.27 |
| 10.0 | Shots faced per match | 12.2 |
| 6.0 | Shots on target faced per match | 8.4 |
| 1.0 | Big chances faced per match | 2.2 |
| 5.4 | Deep completions allowed per match | 5.8 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| 116.3 km | Distance covered per match (km) | 117.4 km |
| 116 | Sprints per match | 123 |
| 27.0 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 25.2 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Bournemouth 4
- Alex Scott Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Alex Tóth Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Julián Araujo Injury Expected back late November 2026
- Veljko Milosavljević Injury Doubtful
Leeds 3
- Daniel James Injury Doubtful
- Joe Rodon Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Mateo Joseph Injury Expected back early January 2027
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.