What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Lazio lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Lazio +0.40, Cagliari -0.72.
- Points per game over the last five: Lazio 2.60, Cagliari 1.40.
- Attack: Lazio xG per match 1.77, 13.8 shots, 3.0 big chances created; Cagliari xG per match 1.14, 7.2 shots, 1.8 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Lazio 1.37, Cagliari 1.86; shots on target faced 7.8 vs 11.0, big chances faced 2.5 vs 2.5.
Each team's clearest edge
Head-to-head data
Lazio
|
Metric |
Cagliari
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 2.60 | Points per game | 1.40 |
| 2.40 | Goals per match | 0.80 |
| 0.80 | Goals conceded per match | 1.60 |
| 1.67 | Expected points per game | 0.84 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.77 | xG per match | 1.14 |
| 13.8 | Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 7.2 |
| 7.2 | Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 4.0 |
| 3.0 | Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 1.8 |
| 52.2% | Possession 4 / 4 matches with data | 44.5% |
| 8.2 | Deep completions per match | 2.8 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.37 | xGA per match | 1.86 |
| 12.5 | Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 17.0 |
| 7.8 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 11.0 |
| 2.5 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 2.5 |
| 5.8 | Deep completions allowed per match | 10.4 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 21.4 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 17.8 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Lazio 3
- Adam Marušić Injury Doubtful
- Albert Gudmundsson Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Nicolò Rovella Injury Doubtful
Cagliari 3
- Harry Winks Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Mattia Felici Injury Out for the season
- Riyad Idrissi Injury Expected back early November 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.