Player Watch

A scouting view of the gap between reference market value, underlying ability, role and risk across the big five leagues.
2026 season · at least 450 minutes Data window 2026-08-15 to 2026-10-25 Reference values covered: 524/707 Ages available: 530/707 Running data: 145/707 · Premier League only Built 2026-10-26 15:37 (Beijing time) Daily player changes →

How to read this page

Start with minutes, then ability, then market. One number never decides a player.

Role

Minutes, starts and the last-five-versus-previous-five change. A role signal is not an attitude verdict.

Ability

Percentiles within the same league and position; only metrics with enough coverage are used.

Market

A third-party reference value, not a transfer fee or salary. Missing values are never treated as zero.

This period's watches

A short list of testable stories, each tied to minutes, ability or value evidence.

Loris Karius: is the market lagging the data?

630 minutes this season, ability profile in the 71th percentile, but reference value sits in the lowest band of the covered sample.

Minutes630
AbilityP71
Reference value€746k2026-10-01
Role change0.0%
Keeping P88
Goals prevented per 900.67P92 Goals conceded per 901.00P92 Inside-box saves per 903.14P85
P71 · 14 players Open player →

Mark Flekken: can the peak value hold?

Reference value remains in the 80th percentile, while role, contract or workload signals suggest a sell-window review.

Minutes630
AbilityP17
Reference value€4.4m2026-10-01
Role change0.0%
Keeping P15
Goals conceded per 901.71P54 Accurate passes per 9022.1P23 Inside-box saves per 901.29P4
P17 · 14 players Open player →

Undervalued candidates

Ability percentile above the market percentile within the observed value sample.

Loris Karius: is the market lagging the data?

630 minutes this season, ability profile in the 71th percentile, but reference value sits in the lowest band of the covered sample.

Minutes630
AbilityP71
Reference value€746k2026-10-01
Role change0.0%
Keeping P88
Goals prevented per 900.67P92 Goals conceded per 901.00P92 Inside-box saves per 903.14P85
P71 · 14 players Open player →

Laurin Curda: is the market lagging the data?

607 minutes this season, ability profile in the 75th percentile, but reference value sits in the 22th percentile of the covered sample.

Minutes607
AbilityP75
Reference value€2.3m2026-10-01
Role change-5.1%
Attack P69 Defense P80
Duels won per 908.15P100 Clearances per 904.15P94 Defensive actions per 908.45P90
P75 · 32 players Open player →

Nahuel Noll: is the market lagging the data?

630 minutes this season, ability profile in the 77th percentile, but reference value sits in the 40th percentile of the covered sample.

Minutes630
AbilityP77
Reference value€2.1m2026-10-01
Role change0.0%
Keeping P73
Accurate passes per 9032.7P92 Goals prevented per 900.49P85 Goals conceded per 901.29P77
P77 · 14 players Open player →

Sell-window reviews

High reference value plus age, contract or role signals. This is not a recommendation.

Mark Flekken: can the peak value hold?

Reference value remains in the 80th percentile, while role, contract or workload signals suggest a sell-window review.

Minutes630
AbilityP17
Reference value€4.4m2026-10-01
Role change0.0%
Keeping P15
Goals conceded per 901.71P54 Accurate passes per 9022.1P23 Inside-box saves per 901.29P4
P17 · 14 players Open player →

David Raum: can the peak value hold?

Reference value remains in the 87th percentile, while role, contract or workload signals suggest a sell-window review.

Minutes540
AbilityP30
Reference value€16.8m2026-10-01
Role change0.0%
Attack P30 Defense P24
Final-third passes per 907.17P74 Accurate passes per 9050.8P54 Recoveries per 903.83P49
P30 · 36 players Open player →

Maarten Vandevoordt: can the peak value hold?

Reference value remains in the top band, while role, contract or workload signals suggest a sell-window review.

Minutes540
AbilityP75
Reference value€15.1m2026-10-01
Role change0.0%
Keeping P79
Inside-box saves per 904.17P100 Saves per 906.00P100 Goals prevented per 900.05P69
P75 · 14 players Open player →

Effort watch

Distance, high-speed running and sprints in the last five games versus the previous five. Goalkeepers are excluded. Only leagues with per-match running data are compared; missing values are never treated as zero.

Running changes need a little more data

145 of 707 watch-pool players already have a running percentile. The last-five versus previous-five comparison needs at least three covered games in each window; it will appear automatically once the season sample grows.

Watch pool

Only players who pass the minutes threshold; filters never change the percentile cohort.

Showing 30 of 97 players
Player Team Position Age Minutes Ability Defense Running Reference value Role change Signal
Michael Olise— Bayern Munich forward — 4836 apps P9115 人 P40Defense — — -12.7%78.6 → High ability percentile
Waldemar Anton— Borussia Dortmund defender — 5406 apps P8536 人 P82Defense — — 0.0%90.0 → High ability percentile
Nahuel NollGermany · 23 Paderborn goalkeeper 23 6307 apps P7714 人 P73Keeping — €2.1m+17.0% · 6M 0.0%90.0 → High ability percentile
Dayot Upamecano— Bayern Munich defender — 5406 apps P7636 人 P69Defense — — 0.0%90.0 → High ability percentile
Laurin CurdaGermany · 24 Paderborn midfielder 24 6077 apps P7532 人 P80Defense — €2.3m+104.2% · 6M -5.1%85.4 → High ability percentile
Maarten VandevoordtBelgium · 24 RB Leipzig goalkeeper 24 5406 apps P7514 人 P79Keeping — €15.1m+46.4% · 6M 0.0%90.0 → High ability percentile
Robin Koch— Eintracht Frankfurt defender — 4956 apps P7236 人 P67Defense — — -10.0%81.0 → High ability percentile
Harry Kane— Bayern Munich forward — 4586 apps P7215 人 P29Defense — — -11.0%74.8 → High ability percentile
Loris KariusGermany · 33 Schalke 04 goalkeeper 33 6307 apps P7114 人 P88Keeping — €746k+14.7% · 6M 0.0%90.0 → High ability percentile
Timo Becker— Schalke 04 defender — 5237 apps P7036 人 P83Defense — — -23.8%68.6 → High ability percentile
Tom Krauß— FC Cologne midfielder — 4826 apps P7032 人 P92Defense — — -11.7%78.6 → High ability percentile
Anthony Caci— Mainz 05 midfielder — 4506 apps P7032 人 P62Defense — — +3.3%75.4 → High ability percentile
Kaishu Sano— Mainz 05 midfielder — 5286 apps P6832 人 P71Defense — — -2.7%87.6 → High ability percentile
Wouter Burger— Hoffenheim midfielder — 5116 apps P6832 人 P68Defense — — -6.4%84.2 → High ability percentile
Santiago CastañedaUSA · 21 Paderborn midfielder 21 6307 apps P6632 人 P86Defense — €4.3m-6.4% · 6M 0.0%90.0 → High ability percentile
Finn Dahmen— Augsburg goalkeeper — 5406 apps P6514 人 P70Keeping — — 0.0%90.0 → High ability percentile
Daniel Svensson— Borussia Dortmund midfielder — 5186 apps P6532 人 P76Defense — — -4.9%85.6 → High ability percentile
Marvin Schwäbe— FC Cologne goalkeeper — 5406 apps P6314 人 P60Keeping — — 0.0%90.0 → —
Fabian Rieder— Augsburg midfielder — 5336 apps P6232 人 P62Defense — — +8.4%90.0 → —
Tjark SchellerGermany · 24 Paderborn defender 24 6257 apps P6136 人 P67Defense — €1.9m+46.1% · 6M -1.1%89.0 → —
Nikola KaticBosnia and Herzegovina · 30 Schalke 04 defender 30 5977 apps P6136 人 P70Defense — €1.4m+11.5% · 6M +3.9%86.2 → —
Ozan KabakTurkiye · 26 Hoffenheim defender 26 5417 apps P6136 人 P66Defense — €6.8m+186.2% · 6M -12.0%74.4 → —
Antonio NusaNorway · 21 RB Leipzig forward 21 5387 apps P6115 人 P41Defense — €42.1m+14.9% · 6M -16.3%72.8 → Minutes falling
Marco Grüll— Werder Bremen forward — 5356 apps P6015 人 P89Defense — — +5.9%90.0 → —
Soufian El-FaouziMorocco · 24 Schalke 04 midfielder 24 5837 apps P5932 人 P69Defense — €5.3m+198.6% · 6M -10.4%80.6 → —
Calvin Brackelmann— Augsburg defender — 4556 apps P5936 人 P63Defense — — -17.8%73.2 → Minutes falling
Hasan KuruçayTurkiye · 29 Schalke 04 defender 29 5867 apps P5836 人 P66Defense — €1.4m+23.6% · 6M +32.4%90.0 → Role expanding
Hennes Behrens— Augsburg defender — 5406 apps P5836 人 P76Defense — — 0.0%90.0 → —
Adam Daghim— Hoffenheim forward — 5267 apps P5715 人 P79Defense — — -21.1%69.8 → Minutes falling
Lukas PinckertGermany · 26 Elversberg defender 26 6307 apps P5636 人 P53Defense — €1.9m+11.4% · 6M 0.0%90.0 → Contract near expiry

Data boundaries

  • Reference values are third-party estimates with their own dates; they are not transfer fees, salaries or release clauses.
  • Percentiles compare players in the same league and position; if that cohort is too small, the page falls back to the same position across the five leagues.
  • Minutes falling can reflect rotation, injury, suspension or tactics. Running data currently covers only some leagues and missing values are not zero; neither signal alone can prove attitude or a decline in ability.
  • This page does not publish transfer rumours, medical claims or betting advice.