Liga Portugal Round 10 2026-11-01 · 18:00 UTC scheduled
Académico Viseu (home)
VS Estádio Municipal do Fontelo, Viseu
Rio Ave (away)
Prediction
55% Académico Viseu (home) Model favorite
23% Draw
22% Rio Ave (away)
Expected goals 1.75 — 1.06 Over 2.5 goals: 53% Both teams to score: 54%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Académico Viseu Rio Ave
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 0.80.58
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.981.65
Sample size (matches with xG data) 11
Rest days since last match 77
Matches in the last 7 days 11
Matches in the next 7 days 11
Travel to this match (km) 237105

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability is below 70%; in backtests matches in this band end as predicted about 53.4% of the time.
no season pressing baseline available for these teams

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Académico Viseu

No reported absentees.

Rio Ave

  • injured Brandon Aguilera return: Early December 2026
  • injured Cezary Miszta return: Day to day
  • injured Nelson Abbey return: Day to day

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Académico Viseu 1 · 0 0 draws · 2 Rio Ave

DateHome ScoreAway
2023-07-22Rio Ave 3 - 0Académico Viseu
2022-03-18Académico Viseu 0 - 1Rio Ave
2021-10-31Rio Ave 1 - 2Académico Viseu
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available