Eredivisie Round 9 2026-10-17 · 14:30 UTC finished
ADO Den Haag (home)
VS WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag (‘s-Gravenhage)
PSV Eindhoven (away)
Prediction
9% ADO Den Haag (home)
12% Draw
79% PSV Eindhoven (away) Model favorite
Expected goals 0.94 — 2.9 Over 2.5 goals: 74% Both teams to score: 58%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric ADO Den Haag PSV Eindhoven
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) ——
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) ——
Sample size (matches with xG data) 00
Rest days since last match 64
Matches in the last 7 days 12
Matches in the next 7 days 12
Travel to this match (km) 47554

What could go against this prediction

no season pressing baseline available for these teams
recent form lacks xG samples, so attack/defence form is not measurable

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

ADO Den Haag

  • injured Luka Reischl return: Day to day
  • suspended Milan Hokke return: Mid October 2026

PSV Eindhoven

  • injured Adamo Nagalo return: Out for season
  • injured Alassane Pléa return: Early January 2027
  • injured Jerdy Schouten return: Day to day
  • injured Kilian Sildillia return: Early December 2026
  • injured Paul Wanner return: Late October 2026
  • injured Ricardo Pepi return: A few days
  • injured Sam Lammers return: Day to day
  • injured Sami Ouaissa return: Day to day

Head to head

All-time (per our source): ADO Den Haag 1 · 5 5 draws · 17 PSV Eindhoven

DateHome ScoreAway
2023-03-02PSV Eindhoven 3 - 1ADO Den Haag
2021-02-13ADO Den Haag 2 - 2PSV Eindhoven
2020-11-01PSV Eindhoven 4 - 0ADO Den Haag
2020-02-15ADO Den Haag 0 - 3PSV Eindhoven
2019-08-11PSV Eindhoven 3 - 1ADO Den Haag
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: unavailable Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available