No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Aston Villa | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.59 | 1.22 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.33 | 1.2 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 5 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 15.5 | 9.0 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 3 | 3 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 163 | 143 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Aston Villa
- injured Aaron Wan-Bissaka return: Mid November 2026
- injured Amadou Onana return: Mid April 2027
- injured Matteo Ruggeri return: Mid December 2026
- injured Modou Kéba Cissé return: Back in training
Leeds
- injured Daniel James return: doubtful
- injured Joe Rodon return: Early November 2026
- injured Mateo Joseph return: Early January 2027
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Aston Villa 12 · 10 10 draws · 8 Leeds
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Aston Villa | 1:1 | Leeds |
| 2025-11-23 | Leeds | 1:2 | Aston Villa |
| 2023-01-13 | Aston Villa | 2:1 | Leeds |
| 2022-10-02 | Leeds | 0:0 | Aston Villa |
| 2022-03-10 | Leeds | 0:3 | Aston Villa |
Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage