Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Auxerre | Le Mans |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.57 | 1.85 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.65 | 2.38 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 9 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 12.7 | 13.7 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 319 | 252 |
What could go against this prediction
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Auxerre
- injured Assane Dioussé return: Early May 2027
- injured Bryan Okoh return: Late January 2027
- injured Marvin Senaya return: Mid November 2026
- injured Rémy Lascary return: Mid November 2026
- injured Sékou Fofana return: Late October 2026
- injured Telli Siwe return: Mid November 2026
Le Mans
- injured Adil Bourabaa return: Early January 2027
- injured Erwan Colas return: Late October 2026
- injured Harold Voyer return: Mid November 2026
- injured Martin Rossignol return: Late October 2026
- injured Théo Eyoum return: Mid November 2026
- injured Yasser Larouci return: Mid November 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Auxerre 2 · 1 1 draws · 1 Le Mans
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-01-10 | Le Mans | 0 - 1 | Auxerre |
| 2019-08-02 | Auxerre | 2 - 0 | Le Mans |
| 2013-01-25 | Auxerre | 1 - 1 | Le Mans |
| 2012-08-20 | Le Mans | 3 - 1 | Auxerre |
Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage