No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.52 | 1.53 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.28 | 1.33 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 3 | 3 |
| Rest days since last match | 6 | 7 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 3 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 94 | 139 |
What could go against this prediction
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
AZ Alkmaar
- injured Jizz Hornkamp return: Day to day
- injured Kees Smit return: About a week
- injured Stije Resink return: Early January 2027
PSV Eindhoven
- injured Adamo Nagalo return: Out for season
- injured Alassane Pléa return: Early January 2027
- injured Jerdy Schouten return: Day to day
- injured Paul Wanner return: About a week
- injured Ricardo Pepi return: Day to day
- injured Sam Lammers return: Day to day
Head to head
All-time (per our source): AZ Alkmaar 12 · 7 7 draws · 38 PSV Eindhoven
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | PSV Eindhoven | 2:1 | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2025-11-09 | AZ Alkmaar | 1:5 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2025-01-11 | PSV Eindhoven | 2:2 | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2024-10-19 | AZ Alkmaar | 1:2 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2024-04-06 | PSV Eindhoven | 5:1 | AZ Alkmaar |
Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage