Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Barcelona | Deportivo Alaves |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 3.03 | 1.44 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.75 | 1.29 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 6 | 8 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 6.6 | 12.0 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 1 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 0 | 429 |
What the data says
Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves: what the data says
Home last five: 3.00 points, 3.92 xG for, 1.26 against per game. Away: 0.20 / 1.16 / 1.29.
What is worth noting before kickoff?
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Barcelona
- injured Andreas Christensen return: Mid November 2026
- injured Dani Olmo return: Late November 2026
- injured Eric García return: Mid November 2026
- injured Jules Koundé return: Early November 2026
- injured Roony Bardghji return: Late February 2027
- injured Xavi Espart return: Early November 2026
Deportivo Alaves
- injured Facundo Garcés return: Out for season
- injured Mikel Rodríguez return: Out for season
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Barcelona 17 · 2 2 draws · 2 Deportivo Alaves
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Deportivo Alavés | 1 - 0 | Barcelona |
| 2025-11-29 | Barcelona | 3 - 1 | Deportivo Alavés |
| 2025-02-02 | Barcelona | 1 - 0 | Deportivo Alavés |
| 2024-10-06 | Deportivo Alavés | 0 - 3 | Barcelona |
| 2024-02-03 | Deportivo Alavés | 1 - 3 | Barcelona |
Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage