UEFA Europa League Round 4 2026-11-05 · 20:00 UTC scheduled

No model probabilities for this match yet.

Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Bayer Leverkusen Marseille
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.911.62
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.752.51
Sample size (matches with xG data) 55
Rest days since last match 54
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 11.7 11.4
Matches in the last 7 days 22
Matches in the next 7 days 11
Travel to this match (km) 0872

What could go against this prediction

no head-to-head data available

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Bayer Leverkusen

  • injured Christian Kofane return: A few weeks
  • injured Eliesse Ben Seghir return: About 1-2 weeks
  • injured Guéla Doué return: A few weeks
  • injured Kennet Eichhorn return: Late October 2026
  • injured Martin Terrier return: Early December 2026
  • injured Montrell Culbreath return: Late October 2026

Marseille

  • injured Derek Cornelius return: Early January 2027
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: unavailable Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: unavailable Pressing baseline: available Season context: available