Prediction
83%
Benfica (home)
Model favorite
11%
Draw
6%
Celtic (away)
Expected goals
2.62 — 0.64
Over 2.5 goals: 63%
Both teams to score: 44%
Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Benfica | Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | — | — |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | — | — |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 0 | 0 |
| Rest days since last match | 4 | 28 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 1 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 0 | — |
What could go against this prediction
no injury / suspension snapshot available for either squad
no season pressing baseline available for these teams
recent form lacks xG samples, so attack/defence form is not measurable
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Benfica 1 · 1 1 draws · 0 Celtic
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-20 | Benfica | 2:1 | Celtic |
| 2012-09-19 | Celtic | 0:0 | Benfica |
Ask AI about this match
Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
available
Recent xG form:
unavailable
Injuries & suspensions:
unavailable
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
unavailable
Season context:
available