Bundesliga Round 17 2027-01-16 · 14:30 UTC scheduled
Borussia Dortmund (home)
VS Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Freiburg (away)

No model probabilities for this match yet.

Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Borussia Dortmund Freiburg
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 2.11.44
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 0.951.17
Sample size (matches with xG data) 55
Rest days since last match 44
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 10.0 13.9
Matches in the last 7 days 22
Matches in the next 7 days 42
Travel to this match (km) 74387

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Borussia Dortmund

  • injured Emre Can return: Mid November 2026
  • injured Giannis Konstantelias return: Late May 2027
  • injured Justin Lerma return: About 1-2 weeks
  • injured Kauã Prates return: About 1-2 weeks
  • injured Konstantinos Karetsas return: Early November 2026

Freiburg

  • injured Florent Muslija return: Late December 2026
  • injured Yannik Engelhardt return: doubtful

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Borussia Dortmund 35 · 12 12 draws · 5 Freiburg

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-04-26Dortmund 4:0Freiburg
2025-12-14Freiburg 1:1Dortmund
2025-04-05Freiburg 1:4Dortmund
2024-11-23Dortmund 4:0Freiburg
2024-02-09Dortmund 3:0Freiburg
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Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: unavailable Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available