Liga Portugal Round 10 2026-11-01 · 20:30 UTC scheduled
Braga (home)
VS Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
Famalicão (away)
Prediction
59% Braga (home) Model favorite
20% Draw
21% Famalicão (away)
Expected goals 1.56 — 1.01 Over 2.5 goals: 47% Both teams to score: 50%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Braga Famalicão
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.511.65
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.00.58
Sample size (matches with xG data) 21
Rest days since last match 77
Matches in the last 7 days 21
Matches in the next 7 days 11
Travel to this match (km) 123934

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability is below 70%; in backtests matches in this band end as predicted about 53.4% of the time.
no season pressing baseline available for these teams

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Braga

  • injured Sikou Niakaté return: Day to day

Famalicão

No reported absentees.

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Braga 6 · 7 7 draws · 2 Famalicão

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-04-19Braga 2 - 2Famalicão
2025-12-06Famalicão 1 - 2Braga
2025-04-25Famalicão 1 - 1Braga
2024-12-16Braga 3 - 3Famalicão
2024-01-18Famalicão 1 - 2Braga
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available