Liga Portugal Round 2 2026-10-19 · 19:15 UTC finished
Braga (home)
VS Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
Gil Vicente (away)
Prediction
59% Braga (home) Model favorite
24% Draw
17% Gil Vicente (away)
Expected goals 1.68 — 0.9 Over 2.5 goals: 48% Both teams to score: 48%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Braga Gil Vicente
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) ——
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) ——
Sample size (matches with xG data) 00
Rest days since last match 1010
Matches in the last 7 days 11
Matches in the next 7 days 21
Travel to this match (km) 021

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability is below 70%; in backtests matches in this band end as predicted about 53.4% of the time.
no season pressing baseline available for these teams
recent form lacks xG samples, so attack/defence form is not measurable

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Braga

  • injured Sikou Niakaté return: Day to day

Gil Vicente

  • injured Arthur Tchaptchet return: Day to day
  • injured Mohamed Bamba return: Day to day

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Braga 14 · 7 7 draws · 4 Gil Vicente

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-02-14Gil Vicente 2 - 1Braga
2025-09-14Braga 0 - 1Gil Vicente
2025-02-09Braga 2 - 0Gil Vicente
2024-09-01Gil Vicente 0 - 0Braga
2024-03-16Braga 2 - 1Gil Vicente
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: unavailable Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available