Eredivisie Round 9 2026-10-18 · 12:30 UTC finished
Cambuur (home)
VS Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
AZ Alkmaar (away)
Prediction
17% Cambuur (home)
20% Draw
63% AZ Alkmaar (away) Model favorite
Expected goals 1.16 — 2.17 Over 2.5 goals: 65% Both teams to score: 61%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Cambuur AZ Alkmaar
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) ——
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) ——
Sample size (matches with xG data) 00
Rest days since last match 73
Matches in the last 7 days 12
Matches in the next 7 days 23
Travel to this match (km) 8095

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability is below 70%; in backtests matches in this band end as predicted about 65.0% of the time.
no season pressing baseline available for these teams
recent form lacks xG samples, so attack/defence form is not measurable

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Cambuur

  • injured Daan Visser return: Day to day
  • injured Wout Asselman return: Day to day

AZ Alkmaar

  • injured Jizz Hornkamp return: A few days
  • injured Kees Smit return: Late October 2026
  • injured Stije Resink return: Early January 2027

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Cambuur 0 · 4 4 draws · 10 AZ Alkmaar

DateHome ScoreAway
2023-02-25AZ Alkmaar 2 - 1Cambuur
2022-08-28Cambuur 0 - 1AZ Alkmaar
2022-01-22AZ Alkmaar 0 - 0Cambuur
2021-10-03Cambuur 1 - 3AZ Alkmaar
2017-11-08Cambuur 1 - 5AZ Alkmaar
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: unavailable Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available