Serie A Round 10 2026-11-01 · 11:30 UTC scheduled
Como (home)
VS Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Venezia (away)
Prediction
82% Como (home) Model favorite
12% Draw
6% Venezia (away)
Expected goals 2.38 — 0.71 Over 2.5 goals: 60% Both teams to score: 46%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Como Venezia
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.831.62
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.352.02
Sample size (matches with xG data) 55
Rest days since last match 54
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 10.1 13.4
Matches in the last 7 days 42
Matches in the next 7 days 21
Travel to this match (km) 140259

What the data says

Match data Moderate evidence

Como vs Venezia: what the data says

Home last five: 2.00 points, 2.41 xG for, 1.73 against per game. Away: 0.60 / 1.74 / 2.43.

ComoVenezia
2.00 Points per game 0.60
1.00 Goals conceded per match 2.40
7.0 Shots on target faced per match 15.5

What is worth noting before kickoff?

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Como

  • injured Assane Diao return: Mid November 2026
  • injured Jesús Rodríguez return: Early November 2026
  • injured Mattia Liberali return: doubtful
  • injured Moise Kean return: Early November 2026
  • injured Trevoh Chalobah return: Early November 2026

Venezia

  • injured Andrea Adorante return: doubtful
  • injured Bartol Franjić return: Early November 2026
  • injured Marin Šverko return: doubtful
  • injured Thierry Correia return: Early November 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Como 3 · 4 4 draws · 2 Venezia

DateHome ScoreAway
2025-03-08Como 1 - 1Venezia
2024-12-08Venezia 2 - 2Como
2024-03-03Como 2 - 1Venezia
2023-08-20Venezia 3 - 0Como
2023-04-01Venezia 3 - 2Como
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available