La Liga Round 9 2026-10-16 · 19:00 UTC finished
Deportivo A Coruña (home)
VS Estadio Abanca-Riazor, A Coruna
Levante (away)
Prediction
37% Deportivo A Coruña (home)
27% Draw
37% Levante (away)
Expected goals 1.45 — 1.31 Over 2.5 goals: 52% Both teams to score: 56%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Deportivo A Coruña Levante
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.251.71
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.042.53
Sample size (matches with xG data) 55
Rest days since last match 54
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 14.0 15.2
Matches in the last 7 days 11
Matches in the next 7 days 12
Travel to this match (km) 521797

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 39.0%%).

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Deportivo A Coruña

  • injured Marc Casadó return: Late October 2026
  • injured Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang return: Mid November 2026
  • injured Zakaria Eddahchouri return: Early November 2026
  • suspended Lorenzo Amatucci return: Mid October 2026

Levante

  • injured Hugo Sotelo return: Late October 2026
  • injured Karl Etta Eyong return: Late October 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Deportivo A Coruña 5 · 4 4 draws · 5 Levante

DateHome ScoreAway
2025-01-25Deportivo A Coruña 1 - 2Levante
2024-10-24Levante 2 - 1Deportivo A Coruña
2018-01-27Deportivo A Coruña 2 - 2Levante
2017-08-26Levante 2 - 2Deportivo A Coruña
2016-03-19Deportivo A Coruña 2 - 1Levante
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available