La Liga Round 11 2026-11-02 · 20:00 UTC scheduled
Deportivo A Coruña (home)
VS Estadio Abanca-Riazor, A Coruna
Osasuna (away)
Prediction
40% Deportivo A Coruña (home)
27% Draw
33% Osasuna (away)
Expected goals 1.36 — 1.21 Over 2.5 goals: 48% Both teams to score: 52%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Deportivo A Coruña Osasuna
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.521.67
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.081.93
Sample size (matches with xG data) 55
Rest days since last match 97
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 14.0 11.8
Matches in the last 7 days 11
Matches in the next 7 days 11
Travel to this match (km) 515697

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 42.7%%).

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Deportivo A Coruña

  • injured Bright Ede return: Early November 2026
  • injured Marc Casadó return: Early November 2026
  • injured Noé return: Early November 2026
  • injured Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang return: Late November 2026
  • injured Zakaria Eddahchouri return: Early November 2026

Osasuna

  • injured Aimar Oroz return: Early November 2026
  • injured Jorge Herrando return: doubtful
  • injured Romain Del Castillo return: Early November 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Deportivo A Coruña 12 · 9 9 draws · 7 Osasuna

DateHome ScoreAway
2017-04-30Osasuna 2:2La Coruna
2016-12-18La Coruna 2:0Osasuna
2013-01-20Osasuna 2:1La Coruna
2012-08-20La Coruna 2:0Osasuna
2011-03-02Osasuna 0:0La Coruna
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available