La Liga Round 7 2026-09-20 · 16:30 UTC finished
Deportivo A Coruña (home)
VS Estadio Abanca-Riazor, A Coruna
Real Betis (away)
Prediction
29% Deportivo A Coruña (home)
24% Draw
47% Real Betis (away) Model favorite
Expected goals 1.23 — 1.6 Over 2.5 goals: 54% Both teams to score: 56%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Deportivo A Coruña Real Betis
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 0.881.84
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.211.9
Sample size (matches with xG data) 55
Rest days since last match 43
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 14.0 15.8
Matches in the last 7 days 23
Matches in the next 7 days 00
Travel to this match (km) 0700

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 42.7%%).

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Deportivo A Coruña

  • injured Noé return: Back in training
  • suspended Angeliño return: Mid September 2026

Real Betis

  • injured Aitor Ruibal return: doubtful
  • injured Diego Llorente return: Early October 2026
  • injured Ismael Barea return: Early December 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Deportivo A Coruña 3 · 4 4 draws · 4 Real Betis

DateHome ScoreAway
2019-08-10Deportivo A Coruña 1 - 0Real Betis
2018-02-12Deportivo A Coruña 0 - 1Real Betis
2017-09-16Real Betis 2 - 1Deportivo A Coruña
2017-03-08Deportivo A Coruña 1 - 1Real Betis
2016-12-21Deportivo A Coruña 3 - 1Real Betis
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available