Bundesliga Round 6 2026-10-16 · 18:30 UTC finished
Eintracht Frankfurt (home)
VS Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt
FC Cologne (away)
Prediction
53% Eintracht Frankfurt (home) Model favorite
24% Draw
24% FC Cologne (away)
Expected goals 2.01 — 1.26 Over 2.5 goals: 64% Both teams to score: 62%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Eintracht Frankfurt FC Cologne
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.81.93
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 2.281.91
Sample size (matches with xG data) 44
Rest days since last match 65
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 12.8 14.5
Matches in the last 7 days 11
Matches in the next 7 days 11
Travel to this match (km) 297158

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability is below 70%; in backtests matches in this band end as predicted about 53.4% of the time.

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Eintracht Frankfurt

  • injured Jessic Ngankam return: Mid October 2026
  • injured Malik Pimpong return: Late October 2026

FC Cologne

  • injured Ellyes Skhiri return: Early January 2027
  • injured Imad Rondić return: Early November 2026
  • injured Ragnar Ache return: About 1-2 weeks
  • injured Rav van den Berg return: About 1-2 weeks
  • injured Thijs Dallinga return: Late June 2027
  • injured Timo Hübers return: Early January 2027

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Eintracht Frankfurt 7 · 6 6 draws · 9 FC Cologne

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-04-05Eintracht Frankfurt 2 - 21. FC Köln
2025-11-221. FC Köln 3 - 4Eintracht Frankfurt
2024-02-031. FC Köln 2 - 0Eintracht Frankfurt
2023-09-03Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 11. FC Köln
2023-02-121. FC Köln 3 - 0Eintracht Frankfurt
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available