Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | FC Cologne | Borussia M.Gladbach |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 2.13 | 1.21 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 2.16 | 2.96 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 3 | 3 |
| Rest days since last match | 22 | 22 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 14.5 | 12.5 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 360 | 43 |
What could go against this prediction
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
FC Cologne
- injured Alessio Castro-Montes return: A few weeks
- injured Ragnar Ache return: About 1-2 weeks
- injured Thijs Dallinga return: Late June 2027
- injured Timo Hübers return: Early January 2027
Borussia M.Gladbach
- injured Enzo Leopold return: Late May 2027
- injured Franck Honorat return: About 1-2 weeks
- injured Jens Castrop return: Mid October 2026
- injured Ko Itakura return: doubtful
- injured Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn return: Late October 2026
- injured Tim Kleindienst return: doubtful
Head to head
All-time (per our source): FC Cologne 7 · 4 4 draws · 14 Borussia M.Gladbach
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | 1. FC Köln | 3 - 3 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2025-11-08 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3 - 1 | 1. FC Köln |
| 2024-03-09 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3 - 3 | 1. FC Köln |
| 2023-10-22 | 1. FC Köln | 3 - 1 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2023-04-02 | 1. FC Köln | 0 - 0 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage