Eredivisie Round 9 2026-10-18 · 18:00 UTC finished
FC Twente (home)
VS De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
FC Utrecht (away)
Prediction
62% FC Twente (home) Model favorite
23% Draw
15% FC Utrecht (away)
Expected goals 2.02 — 1.12 Over 2.5 goals: 61% Both teams to score: 58%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric FC Twente FC Utrecht
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) ——
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) ——
Sample size (matches with xG data) 00
Rest days since last match 87
Matches in the last 7 days 11
Matches in the next 7 days 22
Travel to this match (km) 154117

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability is below 70%; in backtests matches in this band end as predicted about 65.0% of the time.
no season pressing baseline available for these teams
recent form lacks xG samples, so attack/defence form is not measurable

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

FC Twente

  • injured Lars Unnerstall return: Day to day
  • injured Max Bruns return: Early November 2026
  • injured Stav Lemkin return: Day to day

FC Utrecht

  • injured Alonzo Engwanda return: Day to day
  • injured Kevin Paredes return: Day to day
  • injured Miliano Jonathans return: Day to day
  • injured Noah Ohio return: Early January 2027
  • injured Victor Jensen return: Day to day

Head to head

All-time (per our source): FC Twente 14 · 7 7 draws · 14 FC Utrecht

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-03-15FC Twente 0 - 2FC Utrecht
2026-01-13FC Utrecht 1 - 2FC Twente
2025-12-07FC Utrecht 1 - 1FC Twente
2025-05-11FC Twente 2 - 0FC Utrecht
2024-09-01FC Utrecht 2 - 1FC Twente
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: unavailable Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available