UEFA Champions League Round 3 2026-10-20 · 16:45 UTC finished
Prediction
51% Fenerbahçe (home) Model favorite
19% Draw
30% Slavia Prague (away)
Expected goals 1.69 — 1.1 Over 2.5 goals: 53% Both teams to score: 54%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Fenerbahçe Slavia Prague
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) ——
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) ——
Sample size (matches with xG data) 00
Rest days since last match 67
Matches in the last 7 days 11
Matches in the next 7 days 00

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability is below 70%; in backtests matches in this band end as predicted about 53.4% of the time.
no season pressing baseline available for these teams
recent form lacks xG samples, so attack/defence form is not measurable

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Fenerbahçe

  • injured Amara Diouf return: doubtful
  • injured Jayden Oosterwolde return: doubtful
  • injured Marco Asensio return: Early December 2026
  • injured Mert Müldür return: Mid December 2026

Slavia Prague

  • injured Adonija Ouanda return: Late November 2026
  • injured David Jurásek return: doubtful
  • injured Eliás Piták return: doubtful
  • injured Igoh Ogbu return: doubtful
  • injured Ivan Schranz return: doubtful
  • injured Stepán Chaloupek return: Early November 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Fenerbahçe 1 · 0 0 draws · 2 Slavia Prague

DateHome ScoreAway
2024-11-28Slavia Prague 1 - 2Fenerbahçe
2022-02-24Slavia Prague 3 - 2Fenerbahçe
2022-02-17Fenerbahçe 2 - 3Slavia Prague
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: unavailable Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available