No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Fiorentina | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.52 | 1.37 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.62 | 1.6 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 8 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 13.9 | 15.7 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 1 | 0 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 136 | 285 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Fiorentina
- injured Arthur Atta return: doubtful
- injured Fabiano Parisi return: Early December 2026
- injured Luca Ranieri return: doubtful
- injured Marin Pongracic return: Early November 2026
Bologna
- injured Emil Holm return: Late February 2027
- injured Riccardo Orsolini return: Early November 2026
- injured Roberto Piccoli return: Early November 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Fiorentina 21 · 18 18 draws · 9 Bologna
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Bologna | 1:2 | Fiorentina |
| 2025-10-26 | Fiorentina | 2:2 | Bologna |
| 2025-05-18 | Fiorentina | 3:2 | Bologna |
| 2024-12-15 | Bologna | 1:0 | Fiorentina |
| 2024-02-14 | Bologna | 2:0 | Fiorentina |
Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage