Premier League Round 7 2026-10-17 · 14:00 UTC finished
Fulham (home)
VS Craven Cottage, London
Hull (away)
Prediction
48% Fulham (home) Model favorite
29% Draw
23% Hull (away)
Expected goals 1.56 — 1.12 Over 2.5 goals: 50% Both teams to score: 53%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Fulham Hull
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.641.0
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.61.53
Sample size (matches with xG data) 55
Rest days since last match 76
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 11.6 16.2
Matches in the last 7 days 11
Matches in the next 7 days 11
Travel to this match (km) 114253

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 42.7%%).

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Fulham

  • injured Hugo Larsson return: doubtful

Hull

  • injured Charlie Hughes return: Late October 2026
  • injured Darko Gyabi return: Late November 2026
  • injured Eliot Matazo return: Early January 2027
  • injured Ilyas Ansah return: Mid October 2026
  • injured Jack Butland return: Early December 2026
  • injured Lucas Gourna-Douath return: Late October 2026
  • injured Matt Targett return: Late October 2026
  • injured Mohamed-Ali Cho return: Late October 2026
  • injured Nobel Mendy return: Late October 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Fulham 6 · 2 2 draws · 4 Hull

DateHome ScoreAway
2023-01-07Hull City 0 - 2Fulham
2022-02-12Hull City 0 - 1Fulham
2021-08-21Fulham 2 - 0Hull City
2020-01-11Hull City 0 - 1Fulham
2019-11-02Fulham 0 - 3Hull City
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available