Belgian Pro League Round 9 2026-10-25 · 12:30 UTC finished
Prediction
55% Genk (home) Model favorite
26% Draw
19% Standard Liège (away)
Expected goals 1.74 — 1.06 Over 2.5 goals: 53% Both teams to score: 54%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Genk Standard Liège
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) ——
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) ——
Sample size (matches with xG data) 00
Rest days since last match 1514
Matches in the last 7 days 00
Matches in the next 7 days 12
Travel to this match (km) 044

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability is below 70%; in backtests matches in this band end as predicted about 53.4% of the time.
no season pressing baseline available for these teams
recent form lacks xG samples, so attack/defence form is not measurable

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Genk

  • injured Adrián Palacios return: Day to day
  • injured Christian Akpan return: Day to day
  • injured Ken Nkuba return: Day to day
  • injured Kenan Haroun return: Day to day

Standard Liège

  • injured Josué Homawoo return: Early January 2027
  • injured Mohamed El Hankouri return: Day to day

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Genk 17 · 15 15 draws · 22 Standard Liège

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-05-16Standard Liège 0 - 0Genk
2026-04-25Genk 1 - 1Standard Liège
2026-02-22Genk 0 - 3Standard Liège
2025-08-10Standard Liège 2 - 1Genk
2025-02-14Standard Liège 1 - 2Genk
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: unavailable Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available