Belgian Pro League Round 9 2026-10-25 · 17:30 UTC finished
Gent (home)
VS Planet Group Arena, Gent
Anderlecht (away)
Prediction
40% Gent (home)
30% Draw
31% Anderlecht (away)
Expected goals 1.47 — 1.18 Over 2.5 goals: 49% Both teams to score: 53%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Gent Anderlecht
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) —1.05
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) —0.26
Sample size (matches with xG data) 01
Rest days since last match 153
Matches in the last 7 days 02
Matches in the next 7 days 23
Travel to this match (km) 2644

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 39.0%%).
no season pressing baseline available for these teams

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Gent

  • injured Josué Vergara return: A few days
  • injured Mouhamed Ngom return: Early June 2027

Anderlecht

  • injured Ilay Camara return: Day to day
  • injured Killian Sardella return: Day to day
  • injured Lucas Hey return: Early January 2027

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Gent 12 · 19 19 draws · 27 Anderlecht

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-05-10Gent 1 - 1Anderlecht
2026-04-12Anderlecht 3 - 1Gent
2026-01-18Gent 4 - 2Anderlecht
2026-01-15Anderlecht 1 - 0Gent
2025-09-23Anderlecht 1 - 0Gent
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available