Liga Portugal Round 10 2026-11-02 · 20:15 UTC scheduled
Gil Vicente (home)
VS Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
Vitória de Guimarães (away)
Prediction
41% Gil Vicente (home)
30% Draw
29% Vitória de Guimarães (away)
Expected goals 1.35 — 1.06 Over 2.5 goals: 43% Both teams to score: 48%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Gil Vicente Vitória de Guimarães
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 0.941.78
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.220.52
Sample size (matches with xG data) 21
Rest days since last match 910
Matches in the last 7 days 11
Matches in the next 7 days 11
Travel to this match (km) 029

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 42.7%%).
no season pressing baseline available for these teams

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Gil Vicente

  • injured Arthur Tchaptchet return: A few days
  • injured Mohamed Bamba return: Day to day

Vitória de Guimarães

  • injured Francisco Dias return: Mid November 2026
  • injured Gui return: Day to day
  • injured Juan Diego Castillo return: Early November 2026
  • injured Thiago Balieiro return: Day to day

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Gil Vicente 13 · 11 11 draws · 18 Vitória de Guimarães

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-04-18Gil Vicente 0:1Guimaraes
2025-12-08Guimaraes 0:0Gil Vicente
2025-04-11Gil Vicente 0:1Guimaraes
2024-12-02Guimaraes 4:0Gil Vicente
2024-01-28Gil Vicente 1:0Guimaraes
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available