Premier League Round 6 2026-10-10 · 14:00 UTC finished
Ipswich (home)
VS Portman Road, Ipswich
Fulham (away)
Prediction
22% Ipswich (home)
27% Draw
51% Fulham (away) Model favorite
Expected goals 1.17 — 1.66 Over 2.5 goals: 54% Both teams to score: 56%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Ipswich Fulham
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.571.55
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.681.82
Sample size (matches with xG data) 45
Rest days since last match 2120
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 12.6 11.6
Matches in the last 7 days 00
Matches in the next 7 days 22
Travel to this match (km) 318114

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability is below 70%; in backtests matches in this band end as predicted about 53.4% of the time.

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Ipswich

  • injured Jack Taylor return: doubtful
  • suspended Abdul Fatawu return: Early October 2026

Fulham

  • injured Antonee Robinson return: doubtful
  • injured Tom Cairney return: doubtful

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Ipswich 3 · 3 3 draws · 6 Fulham

DateHome ScoreAway
2025-01-05Fulham 2 - 2Ipswich Town
2024-08-31Ipswich Town 1 - 1Fulham
2023-11-01Ipswich Town 1 - 3Fulham
2020-09-16Ipswich Town 0 - 1Fulham
2018-01-02Fulham 4 - 1Ipswich Town
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available