Prediction
48%
Jagiellonia Białystok (home)
Model favorite
20%
Draw
32%
Anderlecht (away)
Expected goals
2.14 — 1.44
Over 2.5 goals: 69%
Both teams to score: 67%
Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Jagiellonia Białystok | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | — | — |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | — | — |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 0 | 0 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 7 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 1 | 3 |
What could go against this prediction
The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 42.7%%).
no head-to-head data available
no season pressing baseline available for these teams
recent form lacks xG samples, so attack/defence form is not measurable
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Jagiellonia Białystok
- injured Norbert Wojtuszek return: Early December 2026
Anderlecht
- injured Ilay Camara return: Day to day
- injured Killian Sardella return: Day to day
Ask AI about this match
Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
available
Recent xG form:
unavailable
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
unavailable
Pressing baseline:
unavailable
Season context:
available