Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Juventus | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.45 | 2.17 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 0.88 | 1.54 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 4 | 4 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 9.8 | 14.1 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 3 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 129 | 137 |
What the data says
Juventus vs Napoli: what the data says
Home last five: 1.00 points, 1.55 xG for, 0.63 against per game. Away: 1.40 / 2.56 / 1.30.
What is worth noting before kickoff?
What could go against this prediction
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Juventus
- injured Francisco Conceição return: Mid November 2026
- injured Jeff Ekhator return: Early November 2026
- injured Kamil Grabara return: Out for season
- injured Kenan Yıldız return: Early December 2026
- injured Khéphren Thuram-Ulien return: Mid January 2027
- injured Manuel Locatelli return: Late March 2027
- injured Nicolás González return: Early November 2026
- injured Zeki Çelik return: Early November 2026
Napoli
- injured Alessandro Buongiorno return: Early November 2026
- injured Alisson Santos return: Early November 2026
- injured Amir Rrahmani return: doubtful
- injured Benoît Badiashile return: doubtful
- injured Costantino Favasuli return: Early November 2026
- injured David Neres return: Early November 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Juventus 17 · 8 8 draws · 14 Napoli
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Juventus | 3 - 0 | Napoli |
| 2025-12-07 | Napoli | 2 - 1 | Juventus |
| 2025-01-25 | Napoli | 2 - 1 | Juventus |
| 2024-09-21 | Juventus | 0 - 0 | Napoli |
| 2024-03-03 | Napoli | 2 - 1 | Juventus |
Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage