Belgian Pro League Round 9 2026-10-23 · 18:45 UTC postponed
Kortrijk (home)
VS Guldensporenstadion, Kortrijk
KV Mechelen (away)
Prediction
28% Kortrijk (home)
32% Draw
39% KV Mechelen (away)
Expected goals 1.21 — 1.46 Over 2.5 goals: 50% Both teams to score: 54%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Kortrijk KV Mechelen
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) ——
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) ——
Sample size (matches with xG data) 00
Rest days since last match 1312
Matches in the last 7 days 11
Matches in the next 7 days 22
Travel to this match (km) 16190

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 39.0%%).
no season pressing baseline available for these teams
recent form lacks xG samples, so attack/defence form is not measurable

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Kortrijk

  • injured Basile Vroninks return: A few days
  • injured Jamie Roche return: A few days
  • injured Marko Ilić return: A few days
  • injured Matthew Anderson return: Day to day
  • injured Nayel Mehssatou return: Day to day
  • injured Rok Štorman return: A few days
  • suspended Shandre Campbell return: Late October 2026

KV Mechelen

  • injured Adeshina Ayodele return: Late May 2027
  • injured Dikeni Salifou return: Day to day
  • injured Ian Struyf return: Day to day
  • injured Keano Vanrafelghem return: Day to day
  • injured Leo Hjelde return: Day to day
  • injured Tijn Van Ingelgom return: Day to day
  • injured Tommy St. Jago return: Day to day

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Kortrijk 12 · 4 4 draws · 17 KV Mechelen

DateHome ScoreAway
2024-11-29Kortrijk 3 - 1KV Mechelen
2024-10-20KV Mechelen 3 - 0Kortrijk
2024-02-24KV Mechelen 3 - 0Kortrijk
2023-11-26Kortrijk 0 - 3KV Mechelen
2023-01-21KV Mechelen 3 - 2Kortrijk
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: unavailable Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available