Belgian Pro League Round 10 2026-10-31 · 15:00 UTC scheduled
KV Mechelen (home)
VS Achter De Kazerne, Mechelen (Malines)
Genk (away)
Prediction
25% KV Mechelen (home)
26% Draw
48% Genk (away) Model favorite
Expected goals 1.22 — 1.6 Over 2.5 goals: 54% Both teams to score: 56%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric KV Mechelen Genk
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) —3.32
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) —1.48
Sample size (matches with xG data) 01
Rest days since last match 206
Matches in the last 7 days 01
Matches in the next 7 days 21
Travel to this match (km) 073

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 42.7%%).
no season pressing baseline available for these teams

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

KV Mechelen

  • injured Adeshina Ayodele return: Late May 2027
  • injured Dikeni Salifou return: Day to day
  • injured Ian Struyf return: Day to day
  • injured Keano Vanrafelghem return: Day to day
  • injured Leo Hjelde return: Day to day
  • injured Tijn Van Ingelgom return: Day to day
  • injured Tommy St. Jago return: Day to day

Genk

  • injured Adrián Palacios return: Day to day
  • injured Christian Akpan return: Day to day
  • injured Ken Nkuba return: Day to day
  • injured Kenan Haroun return: Day to day
  • injured Yaimar Medina return: Day to day

Head to head

All-time (per our source): KV Mechelen 9 · 9 9 draws · 20 Genk

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-02-13KV Mechelen 2 - 3Genk
2025-11-23Genk 0 - 1KV Mechelen
2025-01-18KV Mechelen 1 - 2Genk
2024-09-28Genk 2 - 1KV Mechelen
2024-02-11KV Mechelen 1 - 1Genk
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available