La Liga Round 6 2026-10-21 · 18:00 UTC finished
Levante (home)
VS Ciutat de Valencia, Valencia
Athletic Club (away)
Prediction
38% Levante (home)
30% Draw
31% Athletic Club (away)
Expected goals 1.4 — 1.21 Over 2.5 goals: 48% Both teams to score: 53%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Levante Athletic Club
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.331.33
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 2.361.65
Sample size (matches with xG data) 55
Rest days since last match 54
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 15.2 12.7
Matches in the last 7 days 21
Matches in the next 7 days 22
Travel to this match (km) 7972

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 39.0%%).

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Levante

No reported absentees.

Athletic Club

  • injured Álvaro Djaló return: Back in training
  • injured Gorka Guruzeta return: Out for season
  • injured Oihan Sancet return: Early November 2026
  • injured Unai Egiluz return: Mid January 2027

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Levante 5 · 4 4 draws · 17 Athletic Club

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-02-08Athletic Club 4 - 2Levante
2025-11-29Levante 0 - 2Athletic Club
2022-03-07Athletic Club 3 - 1Levante
2021-11-19Levante 0 - 0Athletic Club
2021-03-04Levante 1 - 2Athletic Club
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available