Belgian Pro League Round 10 2026-11-01 · 17:30 UTC scheduled
Lommel (home)
VS Soeverein Stadion, Lommel
Gent (away)
Prediction
29% Lommel (home)
26% Draw
45% Gent (away)
Expected goals 1.25 — 1.47 Over 2.5 goals: 51% Both teams to score: 55%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Lommel Gent
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 0.971.89
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 3.431.55
Sample size (matches with xG data) 11
Rest days since last match 87
Matches in the last 7 days 11
Matches in the next 7 days 11
Travel to this match (km) 59113

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 42.7%%).
no season pressing baseline available for these teams

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Lommel

  • injured Dries Wouters return: Day to day
  • injured Jhon Banguera return: Day to day
  • injured Ralf Seuntjens return: Day to day
  • injured Sam De Grand return: Day to day

Gent

  • injured Josué Vergara return: A few days
  • injured Mouhamed Ngom return: Early June 2027

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Lommel 0 · 0 0 draws · 2 Gent

DateHome ScoreAway
2021-12-01Lommel 0 - 2Gent
2014-12-03Lommel 0 - 1Gent
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available