Ligue 1 Round 9 2026-10-31 · 19:45 UTC scheduled
Lyon (home)
VS Groupama Stadium, Lyon
Angers (away)
Prediction
70% Lyon (home) Model favorite
18% Draw
12% Angers (away)
Expected goals 2.06 — 0.88 Over 2.5 goals: 56% Both teams to score: 51%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Lyon Angers
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.331.23
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.191.98
Sample size (matches with xG data) 55
Rest days since last match 56
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 11.9 15.4
Matches in the last 7 days 32
Matches in the next 7 days 21
Travel to this match (km) 399463

What the data says

Match data Moderate evidence

Lyon vs Angers: what the data says

Home last five: 2.00 points, 1.93 xG for, 1.05 against per game. Away: 0.80 / 1.54 / 2.34.

LyonAngers
0.80 Goals conceded per match 2.40
1.8 Big chances faced per match 5.0
2.00 Points per game 0.80

What is worth noting before kickoff?

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Lyon

  • injured Loïs Openda return: Mid November 2026
  • injured Mohamed Ouédraogo return: Late June 2027
  • injured Nicolás Tagliafico return: A few weeks
  • injured Pavel Sulc return: Early January 2027
  • injured Steeve Kango return: About 1-2 weeks

Angers

  • injured Emmanuel Biumla return: Early November 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Lyon 14 · 3 3 draws · 2 Angers

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-04-05Angers 0 - 0Lyon
2025-09-19Lyon 1 - 0Angers
2025-05-17Lyon 2 - 0Angers
2024-12-07Angers 0 - 3Lyon
2023-02-25Angers 1 - 3Lyon
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available