Premier League Round 7 2026-10-17 · 14:00 UTC finished
Manchester City (home)
VS Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Ipswich (away)
Prediction
83% Manchester City (home) Model favorite
12% Draw
6% Ipswich (away)
Expected goals 2.76 — 0.81 Over 2.5 goals: 69% Both teams to score: 52%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Manchester City Ipswich
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.911.49
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.511.71
Sample size (matches with xG data) 55
Rest days since last match 37
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 8.8 12.6
Matches in the last 7 days 21
Matches in the next 7 days 21
Travel to this match (km) 0275

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Manchester City

No reported absentees.

Ipswich

  • injured Jack Taylor return: doubtful

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Manchester City 2 · 0 0 draws · 0 Ipswich

DateHome ScoreAway
2025-01-19Ipswich Town 0 - 6Manchester City
2024-08-24Manchester City 4 - 1Ipswich Town
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available