Premier League Round 5 2026-09-19 · 16:30 UTC finished

No model probabilities for this match yet.

Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Nottingham Forest Coventry
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.541.05
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.021.88
Sample size (matches with xG data) 44
Rest days since last match 76
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 12.5 22.2
Matches in the last 7 days 11
Matches in the next 7 days 00
Travel to this match (km) 7060

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Nottingham Forest

  • injured Jair Cunha return: doubtful
  • injured Nicolò Savona return: Mid October 2026
  • injured Nikola Milenković return: doubtful

Coventry

  • injured Ellis Simms return: doubtful
  • injured Haji Wright return: Early November 2026
  • injured Josh Eccles return: Mid October 2026
  • injured Kaine Kesler-Hayden return: Mid October 2026
  • injured Luke Woolfenden return: Mid October 2026
  • suspended Taiwo Awoniyi return: Early October 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Nottingham Forest 6 · 0 0 draws · 3 Coventry

DateHome ScoreAway
2022-07-08Coventry City 3 - 1Nottingham Forest
2022-04-06Nottingham Forest 2 - 0Coventry City
2021-08-08Coventry City 2 - 1Nottingham Forest
2021-02-02Coventry City 1 - 2Nottingham Forest
2020-11-04Nottingham Forest 2 - 1Coventry City
How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: unavailable Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available