No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 3.21 | 1.06 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.66 | 0.94 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 3 | 6 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 11.1 | 27.1 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 3 | 1 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 0 | 433 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Paris Saint Germain
- injured Khvicha Kvaratskhelia return: Out for season
- injured Marquinhos return: A few weeks
- injured Nuno Mendes return: A few weeks
- injured Ousmane Dembélé return: A few weeks
Lorient
- injured Bandiougou Fadiga return: Late October 2026
- injured Mohamed Bamba return: About 1-2 weeks
- injured Noah Mbamba return: Late October 2026
- injured Panos Katseris return: Mid November 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Paris Saint Germain 18 · 9 9 draws · 9 Lorient
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Paris SG | 2:2 | Lorient |
| 2025-10-29 | Lorient | 1:1 | Paris SG |
| 2024-04-24 | Lorient | 1:4 | Paris SG |
| 2023-08-12 | Paris SG | 0:0 | Lorient |
| 2023-04-30 | Paris SG | 1:3 | Lorient |
Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage