Eredivisie Round 11 2026-11-01 · 11:15 UTC scheduled
PEC Zwolle (home)
VS MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
ADO Den Haag (away)
Prediction
51% PEC Zwolle (home) Model favorite
26% Draw
24% ADO Den Haag (away)
Expected goals 1.82 — 1.27 Over 2.5 goals: 60% Both teams to score: 60%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric PEC Zwolle ADO Den Haag
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.342.1
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 2.191.74
Sample size (matches with xG data) 22
Rest days since last match 88
Matches in the last 7 days 11
Matches in the next 7 days 11
Travel to this match (km) 82128

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability is below 70%; in backtests matches in this band end as predicted about 53.4% of the time.
no season pressing baseline available for these teams

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

PEC Zwolle

  • injured Filip Krastev return: Day to day

ADO Den Haag

  • injured Donat Barany return: Mid November 2026
  • injured Luka Reischl return: Day to day

Head to head

All-time (per our source): PEC Zwolle 10 · 2 2 draws · 7 ADO Den Haag

DateHome ScoreAway
2023-02-17ADO Den Haag 3 - 1PEC Zwolle
2022-09-16PEC Zwolle 1 - 2ADO Den Haag
2021-05-09PEC Zwolle 0 - 1ADO Den Haag
2020-12-23ADO Den Haag 0 - 2PEC Zwolle
2019-10-20PEC Zwolle 3 - 1ADO Den Haag
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available