Eredivisie Round 9 2026-10-18 · 10:15 UTC finished
Prediction
32% PEC Zwolle (home)
23% Draw
46% Go Ahead Eagles (away) Model favorite
Expected goals 1.46 — 1.67 Over 2.5 goals: 60% Both teams to score: 62%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric PEC Zwolle Go Ahead Eagles
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) ——
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) ——
Sample size (matches with xG data) 00
Rest days since last match 78
Matches in the last 7 days 11
Matches in the next 7 days 12
Travel to this match (km) 029

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 42.7%%).
no season pressing baseline available for these teams
recent form lacks xG samples, so attack/defence form is not measurable

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

PEC Zwolle

  • injured Filip Krastev return: Day to day
  • injured Younes Namli return: Day to day

Go Ahead Eagles

  • injured Eus Waayers return: Day to day
  • injured Nick Marsman return: Early January 2027
  • injured Pim Saathof return: Day to day

Head to head

All-time (per our source): PEC Zwolle 7 · 5 5 draws · 7 Go Ahead Eagles

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-04-05Go Ahead Eagles 5 - 0PEC Zwolle
2025-09-21PEC Zwolle 0 - 2Go Ahead Eagles
2025-05-11PEC Zwolle 1 - 1Go Ahead Eagles
2024-11-03Go Ahead Eagles 2 - 2PEC Zwolle
2024-02-11Go Ahead Eagles 1 - 1PEC Zwolle
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: unavailable Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available