Eredivisie Round 10 2026-10-25 · 13:30 UTC finished
PSV Eindhoven (home)
VS Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Feyenoord (away)
Prediction
47% PSV Eindhoven (home) Model favorite
28% Draw
25% Feyenoord (away)
Expected goals 2.06 — 1.36 Over 2.5 goals: 66% Both teams to score: 65%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric PSV Eindhoven Feyenoord
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.342.3
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.41.69
Sample size (matches with xG data) 22
Rest days since last match 54
Matches in the last 7 days 33
Matches in the next 7 days 23
Travel to this match (km) 15671806

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 42.7%%).
no season pressing baseline available for these teams

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

PSV Eindhoven

  • injured Adamo Nagalo return: Out for season
  • injured Alassane Pléa return: Early January 2027
  • injured Jerdy Schouten return: Day to day
  • injured Paul Wanner return: About a week
  • injured Ricardo Pepi return: Day to day
  • injured Sam Lammers return: Day to day
  • suspended Sven Mijnans return: Late October 2026

Feyenoord

  • injured Bart Nieuwkoop return: Day to day
  • injured Gijs Smal return: Day to day
  • injured Jordan Bos return: Late November 2026
  • injured Reiss Nelson return: Early November 2026
  • injured Shaqueel van Persie return: Day to day
  • injured Thomas Beelen return: doubtful

Head to head

All-time (per our source): PSV Eindhoven 18 · 8 8 draws · 14 Feyenoord

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-02-01PSV Eindhoven 3 - 0Feyenoord
2025-10-26Feyenoord 2 - 3PSV Eindhoven
2025-05-11Feyenoord 2 - 3PSV Eindhoven
2025-02-05PSV Eindhoven 2 - 0Feyenoord
2024-12-22PSV Eindhoven 3 - 0Feyenoord
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available