Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Racing Santander | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.57 | 1.71 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 2.92 | 1.28 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 8 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 11.6 | 13.5 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 1 | 3 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 1 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 0 | 538 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Racing Santander
- injured Matteo Prati return: doubtful
- injured Simon Eriksson return: doubtful
- suspended Jorge Salinas return: Early November 2026
Real Madrid
- injured Ferland Mendy return: Back in training
- injured Raúl Asencio return: Early January 2027
- injured Rodrygo return: Late December 2026
- injured Thibaut Courtois return: A few days
- suspended Vinícius Júnior return: Early November 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Racing Santander 0 · 1 1 draws · 3 Real Madrid
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-02-18 | Real Madrid | 4 - 0 | Racing Santander |
| 2011-09-21 | Racing Santander | 0 - 0 | Real Madrid |
| 2011-03-06 | Racing Santander | 1 - 3 | Real Madrid |
| 2010-10-23 | Real Madrid | 6 - 1 | Racing Santander |
Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage