La Liga Round 8 2026-10-11 · 19:00 UTC finished
Racing Santander (home)
VS Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander
Valencia (away)
Prediction
33% Racing Santander (home)
26% Draw
41% Valencia (away)
Expected goals 1.45 — 1.6 Over 2.5 goals: 59% Both teams to score: 61%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Racing Santander Valencia
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.50.9
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 2.522.02
Sample size (matches with xG data) 55
Rest days since last match 2221
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 11.6 15.6
Matches in the last 7 days 00
Matches in the next 7 days 22
Travel to this match (km) 427529

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 42.7%%).

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Racing Santander

  • injured Simon Eriksson return: doubtful

Valencia

  • injured Diego López return: Mid February 2027
  • injured Dimitri Foulquier return: Late October 2026
  • injured José Copete return: Back in training
  • injured Luis Rioja return: doubtful
  • injured Sergi Canós return: Early December 2026
  • injured Umar Sadiq return: Early November 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Racing Santander 0 · 2 2 draws · 2 Valencia

DateHome ScoreAway
2012-01-29Racing Santander 2 - 2Valencia
2011-08-27Valencia 4 - 3Racing Santander
2011-01-31Racing Santander 1 - 1Valencia
2010-09-11Valencia 1 - 0Racing Santander
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available