UEFA Champions League Round 3 2026-10-21 · 19:00 UTC finished
Real Betis (home)
VS Benito Villamarin, Seville
Feyenoord (away)
Prediction
53% Real Betis (home) Model favorite
18% Draw
30% Feyenoord (away)
Expected goals 2.52 — 1.6 Over 2.5 goals: 78% Both teams to score: 73%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Real Betis Feyenoord
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 2.093.81
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.81.39
Sample size (matches with xG data) 51
Rest days since last match 44
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 15.8 —
Matches in the last 7 days 33
Matches in the next 7 days 23
Travel to this match (km) 01871

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability is below 70%; in backtests matches in this band end as predicted about 53.4% of the time.

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Real Betis

  • injured Juan Hernández return: Early November 2026
  • injured Junior Firpo return: Early November 2026

Feyenoord

  • injured Bart Nieuwkoop return: Day to day
  • injured Gijs Smal return: Day to day
  • injured Jakub Moder return: Day to day
  • injured Jordan Bos return: Late November 2026
  • injured Reiss Nelson return: Early November 2026
  • injured Shaqueel van Persie return: Day to day
  • injured Thomas Beelen return: doubtful

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Real Betis 1 · 0 0 draws · 0 Feyenoord

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-01-29Real Betis 2 - 1Feyenoord
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available