La Liga Round 10 2026-10-25 · 17:30 UTC finished
Real Sociedad (home)
VS Reale Arena, San Sebastián
Levante (away)
Prediction
43% Real Sociedad (home)
25% Draw
32% Levante (away)
Expected goals 1.57 — 1.22 Over 2.5 goals: 53% Both teams to score: 56%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Real Sociedad Levante
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.81.53
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.772.42
Sample size (matches with xG data) 55
Rest days since last match 34
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 12.2 15.2
Matches in the last 7 days 33
Matches in the next 7 days 32
Travel to this match (km) 0444

What the data says

Match data Moderate evidence

Real Sociedad vs Levante: what the data says

Home last five: 2.40 points, 1.54 xG for, 2.10 against per game. Away: 0.60 / 1.48 / 2.63.

Real SociedadLevante
2.40 Points per game 0.60
2.80 Goals per match 1.40
10.4 Shots on target per match 7.2

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 42.7%%).

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Real Sociedad

  • injured Álvaro Odriozola return: Early November 2026
  • injured Luken Beitia return: Early November 2026

Levante

  • injured Adrián De La Fuente return: doubtful
  • injured Enzo Bardeli return: Early November 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Real Sociedad 7 · 9 9 draws · 8 Levante

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-04-04Real Sociedad 2 - 0Levante
2025-12-20Levante 1 - 1Real Sociedad
2022-05-06Levante 2 - 1Real Sociedad
2021-08-28Real Sociedad 1 - 0Levante
2021-03-07Real Sociedad 1 - 0Levante
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available