Liga Portugal Round 9 2026-10-25 · 18:00 UTC finished
Rio Ave (home)
VS Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
Famalicão (away)
Prediction
25% Rio Ave (home)
27% Draw
48% Famalicão (away) Model favorite
Expected goals 1.15 — 1.4 Over 2.5 goals: 47% Both teams to score: 52%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Rio Ave Famalicão
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) ——
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) ——
Sample size (matches with xG data) 00
Rest days since last match 1413
Matches in the last 7 days 01
Matches in the next 7 days 12
Travel to this match (km) 019

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 42.7%%).
no season pressing baseline available for these teams
recent form lacks xG samples, so attack/defence form is not measurable

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Rio Ave

  • injured Brandon Aguilera return: Early December 2026
  • injured Cezary Miszta return: Day to day
  • injured Nelson Abbey return: Day to day

Famalicão

  • suspended Gil Dias return: Late October 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Rio Ave 1 · 9 9 draws · 4 Famalicão

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-03-01Rio Ave 0 - 0Famalicão
2025-09-28Famalicão 0 - 0Rio Ave
2025-03-10Famalicão 1 - 0Rio Ave
2024-10-04Rio Ave 1 - 1Famalicão
2024-02-16Famalicão 2 - 1Rio Ave
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: unavailable Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available